Agent-based Simulation of Geo-Political Conflict

The intelligence analysis task of anticipating crises and providing decision makers with reasonable (supportable, explainable)possiblefuturesisextremelydifficult.Toperform this task, a team of analysts must consider the political, economic, and military aspects of national governments and non-governmental organizations. This paper describes an agent-based simulation framework, the Advanced Global Intelligence and Leadership Experiment (AGILE), for building executable models for conducting regional analysis. AGILE is a full-featured simulation framework that enables the specification of simulation parameters, models and agents, lets the user define and run simulations under varying conditions, and enables post-run analysis of the results. In this paper, we describe the system implementation, and some examples of its use in a pseudo-operational setting.

• Type: Conference
• Year: 2004
• Where: AAAI
• Authors: Glenn Taylor, Richard Frederiksen, Russell R. Vane III, Edward Waltz
• Keywords: AAAI 2004, Agent-based Simulation Framework, Intelligence Analysis Task, Intelligent Agents, Simulation Framework