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TGIS
2016

Evaluating Lost Person Behavior Models

8 years 6 months ago
Evaluating Lost Person Behavior Models
US wilderness search and rescue consumes thousands of person-hours and millions of dollars annually. Timeliness is critical: the probability of success decreases substantially after 24 hours. Although over 90% of searches are quickly resolved by standard “reflex” tasks, the remainder require and reward intensive planning. Planning begins with a probability map showing where the lost person is likely to be found. The MapScore project described here provides a way to evaluate probability maps using actual historical searches. In this work we generated probability maps the Euclidean distance tables in (Koester 2008), and using Doke’s (2012) watershed model. Watershed boundaries follow high terrain and may better reflect actual barriers to travel. We also created a third model using the joint distribution using Euclidean and watershed features. On a metric where random maps score 0 and perfect maps score 1, the Euclidean distance model scored 0.78 (95%CI: 0.74–0.82, on 376 cases...
Elena Sava, Charles Twardy, Robert Koester, Mukul
Added 10 Apr 2016
Updated 10 Apr 2016
Type Journal
Year 2016
Where TGIS
Authors Elena Sava, Charles Twardy, Robert Koester, Mukul Sonwalkar
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