Temporal causal modeling with graphical granger methods

The need for mining causality, beyond mere statistical correlations, for real world problems has been recognized widely. Many of these applications naturally involve temporal data, which raises the challenge of how best to leverage the temporal information for causal modeling. Recently graphical modeling with the concept of "Granger causality", based on the intuition that a cause helps predict its effects in the future, has gained attention in many domains involving time series data analysis. With the surge of interest in model selection methodologies for regression, such as the Lasso, as practical alternatives to solving structural learning of graphical models, the question arises whether and how to combine these two notions into a practically viable approach for temporal causal modeling. In this paper, we examine a host of related algorithms that, loosely speaking, fall under the category of graphical Granger methods, and characterize their relative performance from multip...

• Type: Conference
• Year: 2007
• Where: KDD
• Authors: Andrew Arnold, Yan Liu, Naoki Abe
• Keywords: Data Mining, Graphical Granger Methods, KDD 2007, Pairwise Graphical Granger, Temporal Causal Modeling