Turing Trade: A Hybrid of a Turing Test and a Prediction Market

Abstract. We present Turing Trade, a web-based game that is a hybrid of a Turing test and a prediction market. In this game, there is a mystery conversation partner, the “target,” who is trying to appear human, but may in reality be either a human or a bot. There are multiple judges (or “bettors”), who interrogate the target in order to assess whether it is a human or a bot. Throughout the interrogation, each bettor bets on the nature of the target by buying or selling human (or bot) securities, which pay out if the target is a human (bot). The resulting market price represents the bettors’ aggregate belief that the target is a human. This game offers multiple advantages over standard variants of the Turing test. Most significantly, our game gathers much more fine-grained data, since we obtain not only the judges’ final assessment of the target’s humanity, but rather the entire progression of their aggregate belief over time. This gives us the precise moments in convers...

• Type: Conference
• Year: 2009
• Where: AMMA
• Authors: Joseph Farfel, Vincent Conitzer
• Keywords: Aggregate Belief, AMMA 2009, Internet Technology, Prediction Markets, Turing Tests