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WSC
2008
13 years 9 months ago
Efficient tail estimation for sums of correlated lognormals
Our focus is on efficient estimation of tail probabilities of sums of correlated lognormals. This problem is motivated by the tail analysis of portfolios of assets driven by corre...
Jose Blanchet, Sandeep Juneja, Leonardo Rojas-Nand...
CGF
2002
129views more  CGF 2002»
13 years 7 months ago
Efficient Multidimensional Sampling
Image synthesis often requires the Monte Carlo estimation of integrals. Based on a generalized concept of stratification we present an efficient sampling scheme that consistently ...
Thomas Kollig, Alexander Keller
AAAI
2012
11 years 9 months ago
A Search Algorithm for Latent Variable Models with Unbounded Domains
This paper concerns learning and prediction with probabilistic models where the domain sizes of latent variables have no a priori upper-bound. Current approaches represent prior d...
Michael Chiang, David Poole
KDD
2004
ACM
170views Data Mining» more  KDD 2004»
14 years 14 days ago
Estimating the size of the telephone universe: a Bayesian Mark-recapture approach
Mark-recapture models have for many years been used to estimate the unknown sizes of animal and bird populations. In this article we adapt a finite mixture mark-recapture model i...
David Poole
QUESTA
2007
117views more  QUESTA 2007»
13 years 6 months ago
Estimating tail probabilities of heavy tailed distributions with asymptotically zero relative error
Efficient estimation of tail probabilities involving heavy tailed random variables is amongst the most challenging problems in Monte-Carlo simulation. In the last few years, appli...
Sandeep Juneja