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» Averaging Expert Predictions
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KBSE
2003
IEEE
14 years 28 days ago
A Model-Driven Approach to Non-Functional Analysis of Software Architectures
We present an approach to managing formal models using Model Driven Architecture (MDA) technologies that delivers analysis techniques through integration with the design tools and...
James Skene, Wolfgang Emmerich
CORR
2011
Springer
136views Education» more  CORR 2011»
12 years 11 months ago
Eliciting Forecasts from Self-interested Experts: Scoring Rules for Decision Makers
Scoring rules for eliciting expert predictions of random variables are usually developed assuming that experts derive utility only from the quality of their predictions (e.g., sco...
Craig Boutilier
ICML
2005
IEEE
14 years 8 months ago
Using additive expert ensembles to cope with concept drift
We consider online learning where the target concept can change over time. Previous work on expert prediction algorithms has bounded the worst-case performance on any subsequence ...
Jeremy Z. Kolter, Marcus A. Maloof
ALT
2008
Springer
14 years 4 months ago
Learning with Continuous Experts Using Drifting Games
We consider the problem of learning to predict as well as the best in a group of experts making continuous predictions. We assume the learning algorithm has prior knowledge of the ...
Indraneel Mukherjee, Robert E. Schapire
COLT
2008
Springer
13 years 9 months ago
Combining Expert Advice Efficiently
We show how models for prediction with expert advice can be defined concisely and clearly using hidden Markov models (HMMs); standard HMM algorithms can then be used to efficientl...
Wouter M. Koolen, Steven de Rooij