This paper develops rare event simulation methods for the estimation of portfolio credit risk -- the risk of losses to a portfolio resulting from defaults of assets in the portfol...
We present a logic for representing and reasoning with qualitative statements of preference and normality and describe how these may interact in decision making under uncertainty....
Abstract. We extend cc to allow the specification of a discrete probability distribution for random variables. We demonstrate the expressiveness of pcc by synthesizing combinators...
Probabilistic argumentation systems are based on assumption-based reasoning for obtaining arguments supporting hypotheses and on probability theory to compute probabilities of sup...
We describe a framework for inducing probabilistic grammars from corpora of positive samples. First, samples are incorporated by adding ad-hoc rules to a working grammar; subseque...