We explore settings where a principal must make a decision about which action to take to achieve a desired outcome. The principal elicits the probability of achieving the outcome ...
Proper scoring rules, particularly when used as the basis for a prediction market, are powerful tools for eliciting and aggregating beliefs about events such as the likely outcome...
Scoring rules for eliciting expert predictions of random variables are usually developed assuming that experts derive utility only from the quality of their predictions (e.g., sco...
This article presents a model for designing negotiation agent with two distinguishing features: 1) a marketdriven strategy and 2) a set of relaxed decision rules. Market-driven ag...
In our work the focus is on emergent behaviour in large groups of stock market participants. We do not assume that market participants take rational investment decisions based on f...