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» Dynamic simulation for time series modeling
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AAAI
2000
13 years 10 months ago
Multivariate Clustering by Dynamics
We present a Bayesian clustering algorithm for multivariate time series. A clustering is regarded as a probabilistic model in which the unknown auto-correlation structure of a tim...
Marco Ramoni, Paola Sebastiani, Paul R. Cohen
CAEPIA
2003
Springer
14 years 1 months ago
Time-Series Prediction: Application to the Short-Term Electric Energy Demand
This paper describes a time-series prediction method based on the kNN technique. The proposed methodology is applied to the 24hour load forecasting problem. Also, based on recorded...
Alicia Troncoso Lora, Jesús Riquelme Santos...
CORR
2010
Springer
183views Education» more  CORR 2010»
13 years 7 months ago
Discovering shared and individual latent structure in multiple time series
This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for exploratory data analysis and feature construction in continuous time series. Our method focuses on understanding shared fe...
Suchi Saria, Daphne Koller, Anna Penn
KDD
2008
ACM
159views Data Mining» more  KDD 2008»
14 years 9 months ago
Semi-supervised learning with data calibration for long-term time series forecasting
Many time series prediction methods have focused on single step or short term prediction problems due to the inherent difficulty in controlling the propagation of errors from one ...
Haibin Cheng, Pang-Ning Tan
NPL
2011
12 years 11 months ago
A Neural Network Scheme for Long-Term Forecasting of Chaotic Time Series
The accuracy of a model to forecast a time series diminishes as the prediction horizon increases, in particular when the prediction is carried out recursively. Such decay is faster...
Pilar Gómez-Gil, Juan Manuel Ramírez...