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IWANN
2007
Springer
14 years 4 months ago
A Novel 2-D Model Approach for the Prediction of Hourly Solar Radiation
In this work, a two-dimensional (2-D) representation of the hourly solar radiation data is proposed. The model enables accurate forecasting using image prediction methods. One year...
Fatih Onur Hocaoglu, Ömer Nezih Gerek, Mehmet...
COLT
2004
Springer
14 years 1 months ago
Minimizing Regret with Label Efficient Prediction
We investigate label efficient prediction, a variant, proposed by Helmbold and Panizza, of the problem of prediction with expert advice. In this variant, the forecaster, after gues...
Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi, Gábor Lugosi, G...
CISS
2011
IEEE
13 years 1 months ago
Improving aggregated forecasts of probability
—The Coherent Approximation Principle (CAP) is a method for aggregating forecasts of probability from a group of judges by enforcing coherence with minimal adjustment. This paper...
Guanchun Wang, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, H. Vincent Poo...
AUSDM
2007
Springer
107views Data Mining» more  AUSDM 2007»
14 years 4 months ago
News Aware Volatility Forecasting: Is the Content of News Important?
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models...
Calum Robertson, Shlomo Geva, Rodney Wolff
JSS
2011
126views more  JSS 2011»
13 years 20 days ago
A novel statistical time-series pattern based interval forecasting strategy for activity durations in workflow systems
Forecasting workflow activity durations is of great importance to support satisfactory QoS in workflow systems. Traditionally, a workflow system is often designed to facilitate the...
Xiao Liu, Zhiwei Ni, Dong Yuan, Yuan-Chun Jiang, Z...