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TIT
2011
140views more  TIT 2011»
14 years 10 months ago
Sequential Quantile Prediction of Time Series
Motivated by a broad range of potential applications, we address the quantile prediction problem of real-valued time series. We present a sequential quantile forecasting model bas...
Gérard Biau, Benoît Patra
ACML
2009
Springer
15 years 10 months ago
Conditional Density Estimation with Class Probability Estimators
Many regression schemes deliver a point estimate only, but often it is useful or even essential to quantify the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. If a conditional density estim...
Eibe Frank, Remco R. Bouckaert
HICSS
2002
IEEE
119views Biometrics» more  HICSS 2002»
15 years 8 months ago
An Inverse-Quantile Function Approach for Modeling Electricity Price
We propose a class of alternative stochastic volatility models for electricity prices using the quantile function modeling approach. Specifically, we fit marginal distributions ...
Shi-Jie Deng, Wenjiang Jiang
CSDA
2007
102views more  CSDA 2007»
15 years 3 months ago
Smooth functions and local extreme values
Given a sample of n observations y1, . . . , yn at time points t1, . . . , tn we consider the problem of specifying a function ˜f such that ˜f • is smooth, • fits the data ...
A. Kovac
JMLR
2010
118views more  JMLR 2010»
14 years 10 months ago
Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Generalized Linear Models
We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLMs), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, models ...
Lauren Hannah, David M. Blei, Warren B. Powell