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MANSCI
2008
64views more  MANSCI 2008»
13 years 10 months ago
Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market
M. Keith Chen, Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr., Edward H...
ICML
2010
IEEE
13 years 12 months ago
Supervised Aggregation of Classifiers using Artificial Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. In this work we introduce a mathematical theory for Artificial Prediction ...
Nathan Lay, Adrian Barbu
ATAL
2010
Springer
13 years 12 months ago
When do markets with simple agents fail?
We consider (prediction) markets where myopic agents sequentially interact with an automated market maker. We show a broad negative result: by varying the order of participation, ...
Abraham Othman, Tuomas Sandholm
MKTSCI
2011
218views Multimedia» more  MKTSCI 2011»
13 years 1 months ago
Demystifying Disruption: A New Model for Understanding and Predicting Disruptive Technologies
ic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1629493 Marketing Science Institute Working Paper Series 2010 Report No. 10-102 Demystifying Disruption: A New Model for Understandin...
Ashish Sood, Gerard J. Tellis
DSS
2011
13 years 2 months ago
Estimating the effect of word of mouth on churn and cross-buying in the mobile phone market with Markov logic networks
Abstract: Much has been written about word of mouth and customer behavior. Telephone call detail records provide a novel way to understand the strength of the relationship between ...
Torsten Dierkes, Martin Bichler, Ramayya Krishnan