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CSDA
2006
66views more  CSDA 2006»
13 years 8 months ago
A dynamic model of expected bond returns: A functional gradient descent approach
We propose a multivariate methodology based on Functional Gradient Descent to estimate and forecast time-varying expected bond returns. Backtesting our procedure on US monthly dat...
Francesco Audrino, Giovanni Barone-Adesi
WSC
2004
13 years 9 months ago
An Experimental Study on Forecasting Using TES Processes
Forecasting is of prime importance for accuracy in decision making. For data sets containing high autocorrelations, failure to account for temporal dependence will result in poor ...
Abdullah S. Karaman, Tayfur Altiok
IJCNN
2007
IEEE
14 years 2 months ago
Local Learning of Tide Level Time Series using a Fuzzy Approach
— Forecasting the tide level in the Venezia lagoon is a very compelling task. In this work we propose a new approach to the learning of tide level time series based on the local ...
E. Canestrelli, P. Canestrelli, Marco Corazza, Mau...
EOR
2007
78views more  EOR 2007»
13 years 7 months ago
Heuristic modeling of expectation formation in a complex experimental information environment
Academic subjects made judgmental forecasts of a graphically presented time series in a laboratory experiment. Besides the past realizations of the time series itself, the only av...
Otwin Becker, Johannes Leitner, Ulrike Leopold-Wil...
HICSS
2006
IEEE
97views Biometrics» more  HICSS 2006»
14 years 2 months ago
Dynamically Optimizing Parameters in Support Vector Regression: An Application of Electricity Load Forecasting
This study develops a novel model, GA-SVR, for parameters optimization in support vector regression and implements this new model in a problem forecasting maximum electrical daily...
Chin-Chia Hsu, Chih-Hung Wu, Shih-Chien Chen, Kang...