Sciweavers

155 search results - page 11 / 31
» Modeling volatility in prediction markets
Sort
View
WINE
2009
Springer
111views Economy» more  WINE 2009»
14 years 3 months ago
Prediction Mechanisms That Do Not Incentivize Undesirable Actions
A potential downside of prediction markets is that they may incentivize agents to take undesirable actions in the real world. For example, a prediction market for whether a terrori...
Peng Shi, Vincent Conitzer, Mingyu Guo
EPS
1997
Springer
14 years 27 days ago
Modeling Speculators with Genetic Programming
In spirit of the earlier works done by Arthur (1992) and Palmer et al. (1993), this paper models speculators with genetic programming (GP) in a production economy (Muthian Economy)...
Shu-Heng Chen, Chia-Hsuan Yeh
APIN
2008
305views more  APIN 2008»
13 years 8 months ago
A generalized model for financial time series representation and prediction
Abstract Traditional financial analysis systems utilize lowlevel price data as their analytical basis. For example, a decision-making system for stock predictions regards raw price...
Depei Bao
HPDC
2007
IEEE
14 years 3 months ago
A statistical approach to risk mitigation in computational markets
We study stochastic models to mitigate the risk of poor Quality-of-Service (QoS) in computational markets. Consumers who purchase services expect both price and performance guaran...
Thomas Sandholm, Kevin Lai
SIGKDD
2002
232views more  SIGKDD 2002»
13 years 8 months ago
The True Lift Model - A Novel Data Mining Approach to Response Modeling in Database Marketing
In database marketing, data mining has been used extensively to find the optimal customer targets so as to maximize return on investment. In particular, using marketing campaign d...
Victor S. Y. Lo