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» Modeling volatility in prediction markets
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FS
2006
117views more  FS 2006»
13 years 8 months ago
Consistent Variance Curve Models
We introduce a general approach to model a joint market of stock price and a term structure of variance swaps in an HJM-type framework. In such a model, strongly volatility-depend...
Hans Buehler
WSC
2008
13 years 11 months ago
Connecting the top-down to the bottom-up: Pricing CDO under a Conditional Survival (CS) model
In this paper, we use exact simulation to price CDO under a new dynamic model, the Conditional Survival (CS) model, which provided excellent calibration to both iTraxx tranches an...
Xian Hua Peng, Steven G. Kou
TKDE
2008
128views more  TKDE 2008»
13 years 8 months ago
Using Context to Improve Predictive Modeling of Customers in Personalization Applications
The idea that context is important when predicting customer behavior has been maintained by scholars in marketing and data mining. However, no systematic study measuring how much t...
Cosimo Palmisano, Alexander Tuzhilin, Michele Gorg...
KDD
2000
ACM
129views Data Mining» more  KDD 2000»
14 years 9 days ago
Evolutionary algorithms in data mining: multi-objective performance modeling for direct marketing
Predictive models in direct marketing seek to identify individuals most likely to respond to promotional solicitations or other intervention programs. While standard modeling appr...
Siddhartha Bhattacharyya
ACMICEC
2007
ACM
97views ECommerce» more  ACMICEC 2007»
14 years 23 days ago
A predictive empirical model for pricing and resource allocation decisions
We present a semi-parametric model that describes pricing behaviors in a market environment, and we show how that model can be used to guide resource allocation and pricing decisi...
Wolfgang Ketter, John Collins, Maria L. Gini, Paul...