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» Modeling volatility in prediction markets
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INCDM
2007
Springer
69views Data Mining» more  INCDM 2007»
14 years 2 months ago
Simultaneous Co-clustering and Modeling of Market Data
For difficult prediction problems, practitioners often segment the data into relatively homogenous groups and then build a model for each group. This two-step procedure usually res...
Meghana Deodhar, Joydeep Ghosh
ATAL
2008
Springer
13 years 10 months ago
Zero-intelligence agents in prediction markets
We construct a novel agent-based model of prediction markets in which putative human qualities like learning, reasoning, and profit-seeking are absent. We show that the prices whi...
Abraham Othman
ELECTRONICMARKETS
1998
115views more  ELECTRONICMARKETS 1998»
13 years 8 months ago
The Emergence of Linked Fish Markets in Europe
AbstractAbstractAbstractAbstract This paper discusses the development of remote bidding electronic fish auctions. The first electronic fish auctions were introduced in Belgium and ...
Ian Graham
HICSS
2002
IEEE
119views Biometrics» more  HICSS 2002»
14 years 1 months ago
An Inverse-Quantile Function Approach for Modeling Electricity Price
We propose a class of alternative stochastic volatility models for electricity prices using the quantile function modeling approach. Specifically, we fit marginal distributions ...
Shi-Jie Deng, Wenjiang Jiang
HICSS
2006
IEEE
147views Biometrics» more  HICSS 2006»
14 years 2 months ago
An Agent-Based Optimal Bidding Function
Problems such as price volatility have been observed in electric power markets. Demand-side participation is often offered as a potential solution by promising to increase market ...
HyungSeon Oh, Robert J. Thomas