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» Modeling volatility in prediction markets
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SIGECOM
2010
ACM
137views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2010»
14 years 1 months ago
Prediction without markets
Citing recent successes in forecasting elections, movies, products, and other outcomes, prediction market advocates call for widespread use of market-based methods for government ...
Sharad Goel, Daniel M. Reeves, Duncan J. Watts, Da...
ICDM
2008
IEEE
190views Data Mining» more  ICDM 2008»
14 years 3 months ago
Simultaneous Co-segmentation and Predictive Modeling for Large, Temporal Marketing Data
Several marketing problems involve prediction of customer purchase behavior and forecasting future preferences. We consider predictive modeling of large scale, bi-modal or multimo...
Meghana Deodhar, Joydeep Ghosh
KDD
2001
ACM
153views Data Mining» more  KDD 2001»
14 years 9 months ago
Evaluation of prediction models for marketing campaigns
We consider prediction-model evaluation in the context of marketing-campaign planning. In order to evaluate and compare models with specific campaign objectives in mind, we need t...
Saharon Rosset, Einat Neumann, Uri Eick, Nurit Vat...
EVOW
2009
Springer
14 years 3 months ago
Predicting Turning Points in Financial Markets with Fuzzy-Evolutionary and Neuro-Evolutionary Modeling
Two independent evolutionary modeling methods, based on fuzzy logic and neural networks respectively, are applied to predicting trend reversals in financial time series, and their...
Antonia Azzini, Célia da Costa Pereira, And...
CSDA
2008
77views more  CSDA 2008»
13 years 8 months ago
Maximizing equity market sector predictability in a Bayesian time-varying parameter model
A large body of evidence has emerged in recent studies confirming that macroeconomic factors play an important role in determining investor risk premia and the ultimate path of eq...
Lorne D. Johnson, Georgios Sakoulis