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SIGECOM
2010
ACM
152views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2010»
14 years 9 days ago
Information aggregation in smooth markets
Recent years have seen extensive investigation of the information aggregation properties of prediction markets. However, relatively little is known about conditions under which a ...
Krishnamurthy Iyer, Ramesh Johari, Ciamac Cyrus Mo...
WINE
2010
Springer
144views Economy» more  WINE 2010»
13 years 5 months ago
An Axiomatic Characterization of Continuous-Outcome Market Makers
Abstract. Most existing market maker mechanisms for prediction markets are designed for events with a finite number of outcomes. All known attempts on designing market makers for f...
Xi Alice Gao, Yiling Chen
COLING
2008
13 years 9 months ago
Reading the Markets: Forecasting Public Opinion of Political Candidates by News Analysis
Media reporting shapes public opinion which can in turn influence events, particularly in political elections, in which candidates both respond to and shape public perception of t...
Kevin Lerman, Ari Gilder, Mark Dredze, Fernando Pe...
DAWAK
2006
Springer
13 years 11 months ago
Mining Direct Marketing Data by Ensembles of Weak Learners and Rough Set Methods
This paper describes problem of prediction that is based on direct marketing data coming from Nationwide Products and Services Questionnaire (NPSQ) prepared by Polish division of A...
Jerzy Blaszczynski, Krzysztof Dembczynski, Wojciec...
WINE
2009
Springer
111views Economy» more  WINE 2009»
14 years 2 months ago
Prediction Mechanisms That Do Not Incentivize Undesirable Actions
A potential downside of prediction markets is that they may incentivize agents to take undesirable actions in the real world. For example, a prediction market for whether a terrori...
Peng Shi, Vincent Conitzer, Mingyu Guo