43 search results - page 5 / 9 » Self-calibrating Probability Forecasting |
TNN
2011
13 years 1 months ago
2011
—Prediction intervals (PIs) have been proposed in the literature to provide more information by quantifying the level of uncertainty associated to the point forecasts. Traditiona...
KDD
2003
ACM
14 years 7 months ago
2003
ACM
Airlines routinely overbook flights based on the expectation that some fraction of booked passengers will not show for each flight. Accurate forecasts of the expected number of no...
SIGECOM
2009
ACM
14 years 1 months ago
2009
ACM
There is significant experimental evidence that prediction markets are efficient mechanisms for aggregating information and are more accurate in forecasting events than tradition...
DSN
2005
IEEE
14 years 1 months ago
2005
IEEE
Supercomputing systems must be able to reliably and efficiently complete their assigned workloads, even in the presence of failures. This paper proposes a system that allows the ...
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
14 years 8 days ago
2010
ACM
Citing recent successes in forecasting elections, movies, products, and other outcomes, prediction market advocates call for widespread use of market-based methods for government ...