: In this paper, we present and analyze three different algorithms for the evaluation of rare event simulation results. They are loosely based on the AAc method, which in turn is a...
The classical method of evaluation of simulations surely is the batch means method, see e.g. [Bratley et al. 1987], giving confidence intervals to express the precision of the sim...
From a rare events perspective, scheduling disciplines that work well under light (exponential) tailed workload distributions do not perform well under heavy (power) tailed worklo...
We study an approximation for the zero-variance change of measure to estimate the probability of a rare event in a continuous-time Markov chain. The rare event occurs when the cha...
Pieter-Tjerk de Boer, Pierre L'Ecuyer, Gerardo Rub...
Rare events analysis is an area that includes methods for the detection and prediction of events, e.g. a network intrusion or an engine failure, that occur infrequently and have s...