A simple model of rational belief holds that: (i) an instantaneous snapshot of an ideally rational belief system corresponds to a probability distribution; and (ii) rational belie...
Recent research has found that diagnostic performance with Bayesian belief networks is often surprisingly insensitive to imprecision in the numerical probabilities. For example, t...
Max Henrion, Malcolm Pradhan, Brendan Del Favero, ...
Abstract-- In this paper, we are interested in wireless scheduling algorithms for the downlink of a single cell that can minimize the queue-overflow probability. Specifically, in a...
Abstract. Classical probability theory considers probability distributions that assign probabilities to all events (at least in the finite case). However, there are natural situat...
Alexey V. Chernov, Alexander Shen, Nikolai K. Vere...
Probability forecasters who are rewarded via a proper scoring rule may care not only about the score, but also about their performance relative to other forecasters. We model this...