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NMR
2004
Springer
14 years 3 months ago
Probability, rational belief and belief change
A simple model of rational belief holds that: (i) an instantaneous snapshot of an ideally rational belief system corresponds to a probability distribution; and (ii) rational belie...
Charles G. Morgan
UAI
1996
13 years 11 months ago
Why is diagnosis using belief networks insensitive to imprecision in probabilities?
Recent research has found that diagnostic performance with Bayesian belief networks is often surprisingly insensitive to imprecision in the numerical probabilities. For example, t...
Max Henrion, Malcolm Pradhan, Brendan Del Favero, ...
TON
2010
198views more  TON 2010»
13 years 4 months ago
On Wireless Scheduling Algorithms for Minimizing the Queue-Overflow Probability
Abstract-- In this paper, we are interested in wireless scheduling algorithms for the downlink of a single cell that can minimize the queue-overflow probability. Specifically, in a...
V. J. Venkataramanan, Xiaojun Lin
ALT
2008
Springer
14 years 7 months ago
On-Line Probability, Complexity and Randomness
Abstract. Classical probability theory considers probability distributions that assign probabilities to all events (at least in the finite case). However, there are natural situat...
Alexey V. Chernov, Alexander Shen, Nikolai K. Vere...
MANSCI
2007
85views more  MANSCI 2007»
13 years 10 months ago
Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among Forecasters
Probability forecasters who are rewarded via a proper scoring rule may care not only about the score, but also about their performance relative to other forecasters. We model this...
Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Robert L. Winkler