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CORR
2011
Springer
136views Education» more  CORR 2011»
13 years 1 months ago
Eliciting Forecasts from Self-interested Experts: Scoring Rules for Decision Makers
Scoring rules for eliciting expert predictions of random variables are usually developed assuming that experts derive utility only from the quality of their predictions (e.g., sco...
Craig Boutilier
SIGECOM
2011
ACM
170views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2011»
13 years 18 days ago
Only valuable experts can be valued
Suppose a principal Alice wishes to reduce her uncertainty regarding some future payoff. Consider a self-proclaimed expert Bob that may either be an informed expert knowing an ex...
Moshe Babaioff, Liad Blumrosen, Nicolas S. Lambert...
IJAR
2011
62views more  IJAR 2011»
13 years 1 months ago
Measuring and repairing inconsistency in probabilistic knowledge bases
In this paper we present a family of measures aimed at determining the amount of inconsistency in probabilistic knowledge bases. Our approach to measuring inconsistency is graded ...
David Picado-Muiño
ALDT
2011
Springer
262views Algorithms» more  ALDT 2011»
12 years 9 months ago
Learning Complex Concepts Using Crowdsourcing: A Bayesian Approach
Abstract. We develop a Bayesian approach to concept learning for crowdsourcing applications. A probabilistic belief over possible concept definitions is maintained and updated acc...
Paolo Viappiani, Sandra Zilles, Howard J. Hamilton...
EXPERT
2011
131views more  EXPERT 2011»
13 years 1 months ago
Grid Monitoring and Market Risk Management
—With the rapid development of the electricity market, both grid and market operations need to be carefully coordinated and monitored in real time. This paper focuses on system m...
Yufan Guan, Mladen Kezunovic