AICS
2009
14 years 24 days ago
2009
We propose the development of a prediction market to provide a form of collective intelligence for forecasting prices for "toxic assets" to be transferred from Irish bank...
ICML
2010
IEEE
14 years 4 months ago
2010
IEEE
Prediction markets are used in real life to predict outcomes of interest such as presidential elections. In this work we introduce a mathematical theory for Artificial Prediction ...
DAGSTUHL
2006
14 years 4 months ago
2006
The results of recent studies on prediction markets are encouraging. Prior experience demonstrates that markets with different incentive schemes predicted uncertain future events ...
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
14 years 7 months ago
2010
ACM
We designed and built the Gates Hillman Prediction Market (GHPM) to predict the opening day of the Gates and Hillman Centers, the new computer science buildings at Carnegie Mellon...
SIGECOM
2009
ACM
14 years 9 months ago
2009
ACM
There is significant experimental evidence that prediction markets are efficient mechanisms for aggregating information and are more accurate in forecasting events than tradition...