Risk Assessment of E-Commerce Projects Using Evidential Reasoning

The purpose of this study is to develop a decision making system to evaluate the risks in E-Commerce (EC) projects. Competitive software businesses have the critical task of assessing the risk in the software system development life cycle. This can be conducted on the basis of conventional probabilities, but limited appropriate information is available and so a complete set of probabilities is not available. In such problems, where the analysis is highly subjective and related to vague, incomplete, uncertain or inexact information, the Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence offers a potential advantage. We use a direct way of reasoning in a single step (i.e., extended DS theory) to develop a decision making system to evaluate the risk in EC projects. This consists of five stages 1) establishing knowledge base and setting rule strengths, 2) collecting evidence and data, 3) determining evidence and rule strength to a mass distribution for each rule; i.e., the first half of a single step...

• Type: Conference
• Year: 2006
• Where: FSKD
• Authors: Rashid Hafeez Khokhar, David A. Bell, Jiwen Guan, Qingxiang Wu
• Keywords: Ec Project, FSKD 2006, Fuzzy Logic, Single Step, Single Step Reasoning