Grid computing is an emerging technology by which huge numbers of processors over the world create a global source of processing power. Their collaboration makes it possible to perform computations that are too extensive to perform on a single processor. On a grid processors may connect and disconnect at any time, and the load on the computers can be highly bursty. Those characteristics raise the need for the development of techniques that make grid applications robust against the dynamics of the grid environment. In particular, applications that use significant amounts of processor power for running jobs need effective predictions of the expected computation times of those jobs on remote hosts. Currently, there are no effective prediction methods available that cope with the ever-changing running times of jobs on a grid environment. Motivated by this, we develop the Dynamic Exponential Smoothing (DES) method to predict running times in a grid environment. The main idea behind DES ...
Menno Dobber, Robert D. van der Mei, Ger Koole