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» Inferring Hidden Causal Structure
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UAI
2004
13 years 11 months ago
Blind Construction of Optimal Nonlinear Recursive Predictors for Discrete Sequences
We present a new method for nonlinear prediction of discrete random sequences under minimal structural assumptions. We give a mathematical construction for optimal predictors of s...
Cosma Rohilla Shalizi, Kristina Lisa Shalizi
JMLR
2010
134views more  JMLR 2010»
13 years 4 months ago
Bayesian Algorithms for Causal Data Mining
We present two Bayesian algorithms CD-B and CD-H for discovering unconfounded cause and effect relationships from observational data without assuming causal sufficiency which prec...
Subramani Mani, Constantin F. Aliferis, Alexander ...
JMLR
2012
12 years 7 days ago
Approximate Inference in Additive Factorial HMMs with Application to Energy Disaggregation
This paper considers additive factorial hidden Markov models, an extension to HMMs where the state factors into multiple independent chains, and the output is an additive function...
J. Zico Kolter, Tommi Jaakkola
AIED
2005
Springer
14 years 3 months ago
The Use of Qualitative Reasoning Models of Interactions between Populations to Support Causal Reasoning of Deaf Students
Making inferences is crucial for understanding the world. The school may develop such skills but there are few formal opportunities for that. This paper describes an experiment de...
Paulo Salles, Heloisa Lima-Salles, Bert Bredeweg
ICIP
2007
IEEE
14 years 4 months ago
A General Two-Dimensional Hidden Markov Model and its Application in Image Classification
In this paper, we propose a general two-dimensional hidden Markov model (2D-HMM), where dependency of the state transition probability on any state is allowed as long as causality...
Xiang Ma, Dan Schonfeld, Ashfaq A. Khokhar