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MICRO
2000
IEEE
95views Hardware» more  MICRO 2000»
13 years 7 months ago
Predicting the Future
We present a novel methodology for predicting future outcomes that uses small numbers of individuals participating in an imperfect information market. By determining their risk att...
EVOW
2009
Springer
14 years 2 months ago
Prediction of Interday Stock Prices Using Developmental and Linear Genetic Programming
A developmental co-evolutionary genetic programming approach (PAM DGP) is compared to a standard linear genetic programming (LGP) implementation for trading of stocks across market...
Garnett Carl Wilson, Wolfgang Banzhaf
SIGECOM
2010
ACM
174views ECommerce» more  SIGECOM 2010»
13 years 5 months ago
Aggregation and manipulation in prediction markets: effects of trading mechanism and information distribution
We conduct laboratory experiments on variants of market scoring rule prediction markets, under different information distribution patterns, in order to evaluate the efficiency an...
Lian Jian, Rahul Sami
GECCO
2007
Springer
214views Optimization» more  GECCO 2007»
14 years 1 months ago
Portfolio allocation using XCS experts in technical analysis, market conditions and options market
Schulenburg [15] first proposed the idea to model different trader types by supplying different input information sets to a group of homogenous LCS agent. Gershoff [12] investigat...
Sor Ying (Byron) Wong, Sonia Schulenburg
AAAI
2011
12 years 7 months ago
Market Manipulation with Outside Incentives
Much evidence has shown that prediction markets, when used in isolation, can effectively aggregate dispersed information about uncertain future events and produce remarkably accur...
Yiling Chen, Xi Alice Gao, Rick Goldstein, Ian A. ...