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SIGECOM
2010
ACM
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14 years 4 months ago
A new understanding of prediction markets via no-regret learning
We explore the striking mathematical connections that exist between market scoring rules, cost function based prediction markets, and no-regret learning. We first show that any c...
Yiling Chen, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
ATAL
2009
Springer
14 years 6 months ago
Combinatorial prediction markets for event hierarchies
We study combinatorial prediction markets where agents bet on the sum of values at any tree node in a hierarchy of events, for example the sum of page views among all the children...
Mingyu Guo, David M. Pennock