Abstract. This paper presents a technique with which instances of argument structures in the Carneades model can be given a probabilistic semantics by translating them into Bayesian networks. The propagation of argument applicability and statement acceptability can be expressed through conditional probability tables. This translation suggests a way to extend Carneades to improve its utility for decision support in the presence of uncertainty. Keywords. Carneades, argumentation and probability, Bayesian Networks
Matthias Grabmair, Thomas F. Gordon, Douglas Walto